Impact Trajectory of Asteroid 2008 TC3
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Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA
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On October 6, 2008, the small newly discovered near-Earth asteroid
2008 TC3 was found to be on an Earth-impacting trajectory, with impact
less than 20 hours away. This was the first ever predicted impact of a
near-Earth object. Fortunately, it was immediately clear that the
object was only a few meters in size and would almost certainly break
up when it entered the Earth's atmosphere. We review the pre-impact
orbit computations and predictions, the post-impact reconstructions of
the trajectory, and the trajectory geometry. The first prediction of
impact was made by the Minor Planet Center (MPC), which quickly made
the discovery and subsequent follow-up observations available to the
astronomical community and contacted both the NASA/JPL Near-Earth
Object Program Office and NASA headquarters. Within an hour of
receiving the initial data set, JPL predicted that the atmospheric
entry would occur over northern Sudan around 02:46 UT on October 7. As
the day progressed and more data arrived from the MPC, the impact
prediction accuracy continued to improve. A press release was issued
at 21:30 UT announcing the predicted impact later that
night. Detections of the actual atmospheric impact event suggested
that it was an airburst explosion at an altitude of 37 km with an
energy equivalent to about one kiloton of TNT explosives. The airburst
occurred at 02:45:45 UT at about 32.2 East longitude and 20.8 North
latitude, matching the final impact predictions to within 0.2 s in
time and 1.5 km in position.
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